That's not a knock on Purdy, who so far has answered every question in a more than satisfactory fashion in going 5-0 as a starter. Reason for hope: The Eagles have one of the best rosters in football, an MVP candidate at quarterback in Jalen Hurts and an offense that should be able to adapt to any style. Last season's top seeds were upset in the divisional round, and the No. Projecting the NFL playoff picture: Live updated chances to clinch, tight races to watch, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Cardinals grab No. There's room for growth, too, if they can reduce their turnovers and improve a 75% field goal percentage, which is tied for 30th in the NFL. Predicting the NFL playoff picture: We simulated scores for the final 32 regular-season games, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Projected wild-card matchups Playoff Predictors is a suite of playoff machines that allows you to pick every game of the season (up to the championship), and will correctly rank teams according to the league's rules. Los Angeles, making its first playoff appearance since 2018, was stomped by the Jaguars 38-10 at home in Week 3. "Turnovers. I think [Jefferson is] a really good receiver. Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections. The possible permutations of how those 32 games could go are virtually endless. Baltimore Ravens (10-7) Dallas Cowboys (6-9): The Cowboys can win the NFC East if they beat the Giants in Week 17 and Washington loses to the Eagles. NFL playoff picture: Dolphins clinch last AFC spot, final NFC spot still up for grabs, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? NFL Week 17 playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Bucs win NFC South; Giants clinch wild card, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? (7) Seattle Seahawks at (2) San Francisco 49ers, (6) New York Giants at (3) Minnesota Vikings, (5) Dallas Cowboys at (4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Wild-card round bye: (1) Philadelphia Eagles. The Saints avoided playoff elimination by defeating the Panthers. If the Buccaneers were to defeat the Panthers in Week 17, they would wrap up the NFC South title and lock up the No. 1 seeds in each conference -- the Chiefs in the AFC and the Eagles in the NFC -- will receive first-round byes. "He's the focal point of their defense. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 2.7%. ET, NBC). The Saints clinched their fourth consecutive NFC South championship with Friday's wild victory over the Vikings. With just two weeks left in the 2022 NFL regular season, the playoff picture is shaping up. The Philadelphia Eagles couldn't wrap up the NFC East and the NFC's No. The Patriots are eliminated from playoff contention after losing to the Bills. FPI puts the chances of it happening at 5%. We then picked a single simulation that yielded that pure chalk playoff seeding to forecast scores for each game and simulate the postseason. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Seattle clinches playoff spot with win over the Los Angeles Rams and the Packers' loss to the Lions. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. 13. And while all eyes have been on Hurts' throwing shoulder, the status of players such as right tackle Lane Johnson (abdominal tear) and cornerback Avonte Maddox (toe) also looms large. I think he does a really good job at the catch point. LAR-SEA: Rams 23, Seahawks 16 49ers wrestle No. He's 'Joe Cool.' NFL Week 16 playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Bills win AFC East, Chargers, Ravens clinch berths, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? (5) Chargers at (4) Jaguars This is the first time the Chargers will have faced the Jaguars in the playoffs. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Reason for concern: While Allen gives the Bills hope, the lack of a consistent slot receiver and drop issues are concerning for a Bills offense that has been up and down at times. Result: Defeated the Indianapolis Colts 20-3 to clinch a playoff berth. The story of Week 17 is a playoff picture that comes slightly more into focus but still remains blurry heading into the season's final week. (5) Cowboys at (4) Buccaneers. His 77.8 QBR in Weeks 15-17 (vs. Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis) was second best in the NFL during that span and helped the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. The Bills sit at 12-3 -- the same record as Kansas City but with a head-to-head tiebreaker over the Chiefs and a game up on the Bengals, their Week 17 opponent. In the AFC wild-card race, the Dolphins lose at New England, hurting their playoff chances. The Seattle Seahawks moved into the final wild-card spot with a victory over the New York Jets combined with the Washington Commanders' loss to the Cleveland Browns. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. The result is a live representation of a team's various playoff, division and seed chances, along with an updated projection of the final standings. The Packers weren't able to clinch the NFC's top spot, despite Sunday night's victory over the Titans, because both the Saints and Seahawks won in Week 16. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 4.1%. And yes, that means a sub-.500 team will officially win the division, one way or the other. This defense has been so dominant that Baltimore clinched a playoff berth even though quarterback Lamar Jackson missed the final five games. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Playoff Machine . It sounds like a lot, but FPI gives the Colts a 80.4% chance of making the playoffs. Reason for hope: Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback. Scores: Week 17 | Week 18 We can't have him rolling out and just throwing the ball anywhere. Despite featuring quarterback Justin Herbert, who passed Andrew Luck this season for the most passing yards through a quarterback's first three seasons, along with Allen, Williams and running back Austin Ekeler -- who leads the league in touchdowns -- the Bolts have at times been unable to move the ball and score in the red zone, where they rank in the bottom half of the league in efficiency. Washington will win it if it beats the Eagles. 2, 80.9%. Lawrence is running coach Doug Pederson's offense at a high level and spreading the ball around, which makes them hard to stop because defenses can't concentrate on one player. Dallas comes through again, while Buffalo gets its vengeance over Kansas City for the past two postseasons. The Bills are second in the league in drops (31), which has not helped their turnover number (27, third most in the league). Result: Lost 27-24 to the Minnesota Vikings and can't clinch a playoff berth this week. Playoff scenarios Playoff standings The Buffalo Bills and a few other AFC powers are right where we expected them to be in the AFC standings in Week 9. NYJ-MIA: Dolphins 19, Jets 17 He gets in and out of cuts. But the last wild-card spot remains up for grabs as the Lions stumble -- Justin Fields and the Bears' ground game drop 37 points on Detroit's defense -- while the Packers, Seahawks and Commanders all pick up wins. DEN-KC: Chiefs 45, Broncos 7 FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 3.3%. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Predicting Final 2022 Nfl Playoff Picture - Scores For . Dolphins cling to playoff spot: After losing in Week 17 to New England, Miami doesn't control its destiny entering Week 18, needing a win and a Patriots loss to get in. He spins off of a lot of contact. San Francisco 49ers (12-5) 1, clinched. However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 16. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. But the thing about a 3% chance? -- NFC offensive player. Let's break down the state of the race following the 15thand longestweek of the 2021 NFL campaign. The Packers' improbable run to the postseason after a year of mostly forgettable football. Jan 8. 1 seed but with two challengers hot in pursuit. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. San Francisco swept its NFC West rivals during the season, beating the Seahawks 27-7 at home in Week 2 and winning 21-13 in Seattle in Week 15. Result: Defeated the Atlanta Falcons 17-9 and clinched a playoff berth after losses by the New York Jets and New England Patriots. Miami Dolphins, 7-3 (AFC East leader) 3. The Panthers give them a run for it, but Brady leads a drive for a game-winning field goal to give Tampa Bay the 24-21 decision. That, plus a defense that leads the league in passing defense (179.8 yards allowed per game) and sacks (70) is a good recipe for postseason success. Can the Lions fix their defense? Cowboys, Super Bowl odds: +330 Kevin Seifert ESPN Staff Writer . It also helped shake up the NFC playoff race for the 2020 season. But the Jaguars steal a division title by sneaking past the sinking Titans, as Jacksonville delivers the final blow in a 30-6 rout in Week 18. FPI is giving New York a 24.1% chance of making it happen. FPI chances to make playoffs: 83.5% The Ravens have been the NFL's second-lowest scoring offense since Jackson injured his left knee Dec. 4. The Seahawks will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Rams and a Packers loss to the Lions. Ranks: Kiper | McShay | Positional NYG-PHI: Eagles 31, Giants 15 (7) Packers at (2) 49ers ET, Fox). As with 2021, there's a 14-team playoff field this year. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 11.2%. Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. QB Hot Board | First-round grades (6) Ravens at (3) Bengals Super Bowl odds: +3500 Here's a list of the playoff chances for all the other AFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Patriots (36%), Titans (28.3%),. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. Super Bowl LVI: Rams 23, Bengals 20 How did the Rams . Giants No, it's their O-line, he doesn't trust them at all. 7. Result: The Bucs defeated the Panthers 30-24 to clinch the NFC South title and eliminate Carolina from playoff consideration. Week 18: at Buffalo Bills Here's the updated AFC playoff picture after the Week 10 games. There are some times where he's trying to make the big play instead of taking the checkdown. Regardless, the Buccaneers should be able to clinch the 5-seed in the NFC playoffs next weekend with a victory over Atlanta. -- Kevin Seifert, Is Justin Jefferson the best receiver in the NFL not on your team? The Steelers snapped out of their extended funk at halftime of Sunday's game against the Colts, roaring back from a three-touchdown deficit to win and clinch the AFC North. 1. "I would say he's the best. Las Vegas Raiders (7-10) Result: The Eagles lost 20-10 to the Saints, preventing them from clinching the NFC East and grabbing the No. You have to make sure you're matching their speed in both areas." 3, 80.9%. Miami makes for a dangerous No. Meanwhile, the New York Giants' quest for a playoff berth is still unresolved after a walk-off loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Reason for hope: Cincinnati is playing better than it did last season, when the Bengals won the AFC North and reached the Super Bowl for the first time in 33 years. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. FPI chances to make playoffs: 59.7% 13. There's a 9% chance the NFC seeds are in the exact order that's written below, and there's a 12% chance of the same occurring for the AFC. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Compete for $275,000 of prizes, including $15,000 for the top score each week. Super Bowl odds: +550 This is the first playoff meeting between the teams. "I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense. Reason for hope: Josh Allen. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 1.9%. New York Jets, 6-3 (First Wild Card) 6. The Miami Dolphins clinched the last AFC postseason spot with a win and a New England Patriots loss. And the Dolphins, who cut it way too close, hang on against the Jets to snap a five-game losing streak and earn a wild-card berth. New 2024 NBA mock draft FPI chances to make playoffs: 51.9% Hurts' potential contract extension Playoff Machine Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? 2 seed. Web ESPN . NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Result: Defeated the Chicago Bears 35-13 to clinch the AFC East title. Miami split its two games with the Bills, defeating Buffalo 21-19 at home in Week 3 and losing to the Bills 32-29 on a walk-off field goal in Week 15. 1 seed, losing to the Dallas Cowboys. 1 overall selection entering the final two weeks of play, but that's precisely what happens in this simulation. NFL Playoff Machine. Reason for concern: Their defense has been a liability for much of the season, particularly against the run. LAR-LAC: Chargers 49, Rams 27 In two playoff games last season, Allen threw nine touchdown passes to zero interceptions and threw for more than 600 yards. (6) Giants at (3) Vikings CLE-WSH: Commanders 41, Browns 10 The Los Angeles Chargers got some help in the form of losses by the Jets, Patriots and Raiders in Week 16, and took advantage with a rout of the Indianapolis Colts on Monday night to reach the playoffs. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. They can rectify that by beating the Bears in Week 17. It's not likely, but it's also not out of the question. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers aren't out just yet. The most notable development of Week 18? NFL playoff picture 2021 - Week 17 standings, bracket, clinching scenarios, division races and postseason outlook Skip to main content Skip to navigation Presented By Full Scoreboard ESPN Search You have reached ESPN's Australian edition. They also can clinch if the Colts lose or via this combination: the Titans losing their final game and the Ravens, Colts and Dolphins all winning in Week 17. Jacksonville clinched the AFC South and the No. -- AFC defensive player. At the time, the FPI gave Green Bay only a 3% chance to reach the postseason. With the 2022 NFL regular season now concluded, the playoff picture is set. He has strong hands. (6) Baltimore Ravens at (3) Cincinnati Bengals, (5) Los Angeles Chargers at (4) Jacksonville Jaguars, Wild-card round bye: (1) Kansas City Chiefs. First-game outlook: The Eagles get home-field advantage and a bye to the divisional round, so they won't play until Jan. 21 or 22, giving Hurts more time to recover from his shoulder injury. Our guide to all 14 teams, from the favorites to the underdogs, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? 3. 16. New York finished the regular season with a point differential of minus-6. NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI 1 seed, z clinched division 1. y Tennessee Titans (12-5) 2. z Kansas City Chiefs (12-5) 3. z Buffalo Bills (11-6) 4. z Cincinnati Bengals (10-7) 5. x Las Vegas Raiders (10-7) FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 30.5%. The projected final standings will update regularly, and you can track the most interesting races and see how the playoff picture progresses as we move through the regular season's final weekend. A matchup with the Dolphins would be a reunion with wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who played six seasons in K.C. 14. First-game outlook: The Buccaneers will host the Cowboys in a wild-card game on Monday, Jan. 16 (8:15 p.m. Pittsburgh will remain in the postseason hunt entering Week 18. -- Brady Henderson, What's different about facing Smith than Russell Wilson? And who fell just short of the postseason? Trevor Lawrence is superb once again for the Jags, while the Titans' Malik Willis-led offense could never get going. Web Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections. The Dolphins can't clinch in Week 16, but a victory in Week 17 over the Bills would do it, as would a loss by the Ravens, Browns or Colts. 2 seed with a win over the Cardinals, ensuring home-field advantage in the divisional round. Does Chargers' offense need to change? Seattle was in that position thanks to its overtime win against the Rams. 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